Opposition parties and hybrid regime change: evidence from Mexico, Russia, Taiwan, and Turkey

Arslantaş D., ARSLANTAŞ Ş.

Contemporary Politics, 2025 (SSCI) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Basım Tarihi: 2025
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/13569775.2025.2516438
  • Dergi Adı: Contemporary Politics
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, IBZ Online, International Bibliography of Social Sciences, Index Islamicus, Political Science Complete, Public Affairs Index, Social services abstracts, Sociological abstracts, Worldwide Political Science Abstracts
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Autocratization, democratisation, hybrid regimes, opposition parties, regime change
  • İstanbul Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This paper examines the role of opposition parties in regime change within hybrid regimes. Two cases of autocratization (Russia and Turkey) and two of democratisation (Mexico and Taiwan) are selected to illustrate different trajectories of regime transformation under hybrid regimes. We focus on three key dimensions of opposition party politics that potentially affect the speed of regime transformation: a) the relationship between major opposition parties and the incumbent, b) the relationship among opposition parties, and c) the extent of opposition coordination against the incumbent. We posit that each of these dimensions substantially affects the speed of regime transformation, whether towards democracy (slow: Taiwan; fast: Mexico) or autocracy (slow: Turkey; fast: Russia).