Developing a Logistics Confidence Index: The Case of Türkiye

Okumuş A., Demirci E., Yıldırım B. F., Özçelik S., Öner Y.

DALIAN LIGONG DAXUE XUEBAO, cilt.32, sa.11, ss.422-431, 2025 (Scopus)

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 32 Sayı: 11
  • Basım Tarihi: 2025
  • Dergi Adı: DALIAN LIGONG DAXUE XUEBAO
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Scopus, Aerospace Database, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), Communication Abstracts, INSPEC, Metadex, zbMATH, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.422-431
  • İstanbul Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Paradigms in global production and supply chains have shifted with economic crises, the Covid-19 pandemic, and fluctuations in demand and supply. These changes have led to a better understanding of the role of logistics and a shift in the dynamics of the logistics sector. The aim of this study was to develop the Türkiye Logistics Confidence Index (LCI) as an indicator of economic contractions and expansions in the logistics sector in order to manage this transformation.

The research, launched in the last quarter of 2019, collected the opinions of logistics sector experts over 22 periods. The LCI was produced using data collected using the balance method. The LCI is the first indicator to provide public administrators, companies, and investors with a better understanding of the current state of the Turkish logistics sector and to more accurately predict its future. According to the results of the correlation analysis and trend analysis, the LCI value was found to be significantly correlated with the Real Sector Confidence Index (RSCI).

The study reveals that confidence indices are sensitive indicators of the economy and reflect current trends. This study presents a numerical indicator that showing the current state and expectations of Türkiye's logistics sector.