Latent class analysis for measuring Turkish People's future expectations for Turkey

Cilan C. A.

JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS, vol.41, no.3, pp.519-529, 2014 (Journal Indexed in SCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 41 Issue: 3
  • Publication Date: 2014
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/02664763.2013.842961
  • Page Numbers: pp.519-529


The aim of this study is to classify the Turkish People and measure the probability of their positive or negative expectations according to their 5-year expectations on Turkish Economy, Social Rights and Freedom, Rendering of the Public Services, Government Transparency and Turkey's Reputation. For this purpose latest data from the Turkish Statistical Institute's Life Satisfaction Survey 2011 was used and latent class analysis (LCA) was utilized on this data. For this study, unrestricted and restricted models of LCAs were performed, and it is observed that the three-class unrestricted model was found to be the best fit. Latent Class probabilities were interpreted and each class was named based on the calculated conditional probabilities.