CT-based radiomics for predicting PD-L1 expression status in non-small cell lung cancer using a hybrid machine learning model


Durmaz M., Emec M., KIZILDAĞ YIRGIN İ., ILGIN C., Kaval G., Bunul I., ...Daha Fazla

Clinical Imaging, cilt.132, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 132
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.clinimag.2026.110742
  • Dergi Adı: Clinical Imaging
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Compendex, EMBASE, MEDLINE
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Computed tomography, Immunotherapy, Machine learning, Non-small cell lung cancer, PD-L1, Radiomics
  • İstanbul Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Purpose Programmed cell death ligand-1 (PD-L1) is a key prognostic and predictive biomarker for immunotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study aimed to develop a machine-learning model using CT-based radiomic features to predict PD-L1 expression status in NSCLC patients. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included 215 patients (mean age, 63.4 ± 9.1 years; range, 36–82 years) with histopathologically confirmed NSCLC and available PD-L1 immunohistochemistry results. Tumors were manually segmented on pretreatment non-contrast CT images, and 230 radiomic features were extracted in accordance with Image Biomarker Standardization Initiative guidelines. Features with >50% missing values were excluded, remaining missing values were imputed by mean, and ComBat harmonization was applied to mitigate inter-scanner variability. Recursive Feature Elimination and SelectFromModel yielded 30 informative predictors. Seven supervised algorithms were tested; Random Forest, XGBoost, and a Hybrid RFE–CatBoost (HRFC) model were retained for detailed comparison. Model performance was assessed by five-fold cross-validation using accuracy, F1-score, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results The HRFC model achieved the best performance, with 90.5% accuracy, 88.7% F1-score, and a mean cross-validated AUC of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.89–0.98). XGBoost and Random Forest achieved mean cross-validated AUCs of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.80–0.94) and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.75–0.91), respectively. The HRFC model significantly outperformed Random Forest (ΔAUC = 0.11, p = 0.017), while its difference from XGBoost was not significant. Conclusion The CT-based Hybrid RFE–CatBoost model enables accurate, reproducible prediction of PD-L1 expression in NSCLC, providing a promising noninvasive tool.