All the “Missing” Ladies: Political Selection in High-Stakes Contests


Çakır S., Erbay E., Matakos K.

SSRN Electronic Journal, sa. , ss.1-38, 2024 (Scopus)

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Basım Tarihi: 2024
  • Doi Numarası: 10.2139/ssrn.4946659
  • Dergi Adı: SSRN Electronic Journal
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1-38
  • İstanbul Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

How does political selection respond when the electoral stakes increase? Who gets to represent us? We study the effect that changes in the intensity of electoral competition has on women’s political representation in Turkey. We leverage occurrence of two consecutive legislative elections within few months as a natural experiment giving rise to a DiD strategy which allows us to identify JDP’s changes in its list composition and rank as a response to heightened competition. We find that the latter led to a wholesale removal and demotion of women candidates from its lists, bucking the previous trend of increasing female representation. Heterogeneity analysis further reveals that most of the women candidates were removed from electable seats and safe (conservative) districts. While this is consistent with theories of statistical discrimination, the removal of women even from inconsequential positions also reveals taste-based discrimination that has a compounding effect. A counterfactual exercise shows that had lists remained unchanged between the two elections, JDP’s female representation in parliament would have been up by 50%, thus highlighting the role that intra-party politics play in exacerbating gender-based discrimination (own-gender bias) in political selection.