Investigation of issues affecting thermal comfort in water system underfloor heating applications of buildings with Bayesian networks

Erkol S., Yücesan M., GÜL M., GÜNERİ A. F.

Journal of Thermal Engineering, vol.9, no.4, pp.968-978, 2023 (ESCI) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 9 Issue: 4
  • Publication Date: 2023
  • Doi Number: 10.18186/thermal.1332410
  • Journal Name: Journal of Thermal Engineering
  • Journal Indexes: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), Scopus, TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Page Numbers: pp.968-978
  • Keywords: Bayesian Network, Thermal Comfort, Water System Underfloor Heating
  • Istanbul University Affiliated: Yes


Thermal comfort is related to the stability of the ambient temperature. Constant changes in ambient temperature appear as a situation that negatively affects comfort. The selected building systems must be arranged to maintain this stability for the continuity of thermal comfort. In this study, issues affecting thermal comfort in water system underfloor heating applications of buildings are handled and analyzed using the Bayesian Network modeling methodology. Visual examples of the problems encountered in field applications are also given. Three different scenarios are tested with the constructed Bayesian Network model. In the first scenario, assumed that mechanical project failures were prevented. In this case, it was observed that the failure rate decreased by about 5%. In the second scenario, assumed that mechanical application failures are prevented along with mechanical project failures. The failure rate decreased by 11% compared to the first situation. The third scenario assumed that the mechanical project preparation phase was concluded without any problems, the mechanical project was implemented without any failures, and the mechanical system was commissioned without any problems. In the last scenario, the failure rate decreased by 14% compared to the first case, and the probability of not providing thermal comfort remained at 2%. As a result of these three scenarios, the possibility of not providing thermal comfort in the underfloor heating system is detailed and interpreted.