Prediction of the Probabilities of the Transmission of Genetic Traits within Bayesian Logical Inference

Cevri M., Ustundag D.

ACTA PHYSICA POLONICA A, vol.130, no.1, pp.45-50, 2016 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 130 Issue: 1
  • Publication Date: 2016
  • Doi Number: 10.12693/aphyspola.130.45
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.45-50
  • Istanbul University Affiliated: Yes


Predictions for the transmission of genetic traits along to generations are an important process for patients, their family and genetic counseling. For this purpose, Bayesian analysis in which one can include a priori knowledge taking into account all relevant information into the problem could be a useful tool to examine how disease forecasting affects its probability so that it provides a more straightforward interpretation of predictions. Therefore, we investigate here transmissions of autosomal recessive diseases along to generations within Bayesian framework. In order to do that we develop a computer code that is useful to facilitate genetic transition matrices to forecast predictions of probabilities of transmission of genetic traits by using Mathematica software, well known as an algebraic manipulation language. Furthermore, the symbolic implementation of the code is applied for the cystic fibrosis disease forecasting in humans genetics. All results show that Bayesian analysis plays a central role of prediction for probabilities of transmissions of genetic traits along generations for cystic fibrosis disease or other autosomal recessive disorders.