The Event History Calendar as an Instrument for Longitudinal Criminological Research

Eisner M., Murray J., Ribeaud D., TOPÇUOĞLU T., Kazemian L., Besemer S.

MONATSSCHRIFT FUR KRIMINOLOGIE UND STRAFRECHTSREFORM, cilt.92, sa.2-3, ss.137-159, 2009 (SSCI) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 92 Sayı: 2-3
  • Basım Tarihi: 2009
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1515/mks-2009-922-305
  • Dergi Adı: MONATSSCHRIFT FUR KRIMINOLOGIE UND STRAFRECHTSREFORM
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, IBZ Online, Criminal Justice Abstracts, Public Affairs Index, DIALNET
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.137-159
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Event History Calendar (EHC), longitudinal study, early risk factors, child problem behaviour, PARENTAL PHYSICAL ILLNESS, MATERNAL DEPRESSION, ANTISOCIAL-BEHAVIOR, FAMILY INSTABILITY, CONDUCT DISORDER, RISK-FACTORS, CHILD, ADJUSTMENT, RECALL, PSYCHOPATHOLOGY
  • İstanbul Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

Event History Calendars (EHCs) arc data collection instruments used to elicit and record time-ordered data about events in people's lives. In essence they consist of a graphical time frame with a number of timelines, arranged in a grid, that comprise data-entry cells to record and code events. This paper reports findings on using an EHC in a longitudinal study on child aggressive and non-aggressive problem behaviour. The calendar was administered to the primary caregivers to collect data on the period between the child's birth and age 7, the first wave of a longitudinal study conducted with 1,200 children in the City of Zurich. Using current knowledge about the role of early family-related and individual risk factors as a benchmark, the study examines whether event history data predict aggressive and non-aggressive problem behaviours in the expected size-order and direction. More specifically, we distinguish three aspects of criterion-related validity: The analyses show that risk-factors measured in the calendar are correlated with behaviour outcomes in the expected direction, that the size-order and relative importance of early risk factors are in line with the previous literature, that longer exposure to a risk factor is associated with ail added risk, and that the likelihood of problematic outcomes is related to cumulative contextual risk.