Prediction of Load Capacities of Closed-Ended Piles Using Boosting Machine Learning Methods


Karakas S., Ülker M. B. C., Taşkın Kaya G.

5th International Conference on New Developments in Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering (ICNDSMGE-ZM), ELECTR NETWORK, 30 June - 02 July 2022, pp.225-233

  • Publication Type: Conference Paper / Full Text
  • Doi Number: 10.1007/978-3-031-20172-1_21
  • Country: ELECTR NETWORK
  • Page Numbers: pp.225-233
  • Istanbul University Affiliated: No

Abstract

In this study, a novel data-driven model is developed using boosting-type machine learning algorithms with the aim of predicting the ultimate load-bearing capacities of closed-ended piles. A comprehensive database is gathered using the full-scale load test data with four features. Special boosting type machine learning methods are trained and tested with the database. Once predictions are made, a newly developed machine learning algorithm called Shapley method is utilized to decide the effectiveness of the selected features in predicting pile capacities. Results indicate that the pile cross-section area and length features are sufficient to achieve accurate predictions covering the parameters on the pile side and the CPT-based tip resistance is the only parameter needed on the soil side. While different boosting methods result in different levels of accuracy in predicting the load bearing capacities of closed-ended piles, it is generally possible to determine the minimum number of features necessary to satisfy a high goodness of fit. In the end, optimum number of features are determined in the prediction process using the Shapley method through the boosting algorithms giving us a valuable prediction tool for estimating the bearing capacity of closed-ended piles.