Assessment of Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity in the Susurluk Basin of Türkiye: A Basin-Scale Perspective


Aytekin M., SERENGİL Y.

JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY, vol.45, no.2, pp.117-136, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 45 Issue: 2
  • Publication Date: 2026
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/10549811.2025.2594024
  • Journal Name: JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, BIOSIS, Compendex, Environment Index, Geobase, Greenfile, Public Affairs Index
  • Page Numbers: pp.117-136
  • Istanbul University Affiliated: No

Abstract

The ecological vulnerability and resilience of watersheds are closely linked to the presence and sustainability of forest ecosystems. In this study, we employed a spatial, indicator-based methodology to assess sub-basin vulnerability within the strategically important Susurluk Basin in T & uuml;rkiye. The approach involved scoring 28 selected indicators representing sensitivity, exposure, and adaptive capacity, which were then aggregated to generate a single vulnerability score for each sub-basin. To validate the methodology, we conducted a comprehensive statistical comparison with independently collected ecological water quality data. A strong correlation (R2 approximate to 0.79) between the vulnerability scores and water quality parameters confirmed the reliability of the assessment. The findings demonstrate that ecological degradation - effectively monitored through water quality metrics - can serve as a practical proxy for assessing sub-basin vulnerability. This assessment enables the identification of high-risk sub-basins, providing critical insights for prioritizing areas that require ecosystem restoration and long-term sustainability efforts. Moreover, integrating this approach into forest management planning has the potential to enhance the hydrological services that forest ecosystems provide.