Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH INTO THE ENVIRONMENT AND ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH MAN, cilt.973, ss.1-20, 2025 (Scopus)
Islands are diversity hotspots and vulnerable to environmental
degradation, climate variations, land use changes and societal crises.
These factors can exhibit interactive impacts on ecosystem services. The
study reviewed a large number of papers on the climate
change-islands-ecosystem services topic worldwide. Potential inclusion
of land use changes and other drivers of impacts on ecosystem services
were sequentially also recorded. The study sought to investigate the
impacts of climate change, land use change, and other non-climatic
driver changes on island ecosystem services. Explanatory variables
examined were divided into two categories: environmental variables and
methodological ones. Environmental variables include sea zone geographic
location, ecosystem, ecosystem services, climate, land use, other
driver variables, Methodological variables include consideration of
policy interventions, uncertainty assessment, cumulative effects of
climate change, synergistic effects of climate change with land use
change and other anthropogenic and environmental drivers, and the
diversity of variables used in the analysis. Machine learning and
statistical methods were used to analyze their effects on island
ecosystem services. Negative climate change impacts on ecosystem
services are better quantified by land use change or other non-climatic
driver variables than by climate variables. The synergy of land use
together with climate changes is modulating the impact outcome and
critical for a better impact assessment. Analyzed together, there is
little evidence of more pronounced effects for a specific sea zone,
ecosystem, or ecosystem service. Climate change impacts may be
underestimated due to the use of a single climate variable deployed in
most studies. Policy interventions exhibit low classification accuracy
in quantifying impacts indicating insufficient efficacy or integration
in the studies.