Clinical prediction of 5-year survival in systemic sclerosis: validation of a simple prognostic model in EUSTAR centres

FRANSEN J., POPA-DIACONU D., Hesselstrand R., CARREIRA P., VALENTINI G., BERETTA L., ...More

ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASES, vol.70, no.10, pp.1788-1792, 2011 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 70 Issue: 10
  • Publication Date: 2011
  • Doi Number: 10.1136/ard.2010.144360
  • Journal Name: ANNALS OF THE RHEUMATIC DISEASES
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.1788-1792
  • Istanbul University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

Objective Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is associated with a significant reduction in life expectancy. A simple prognostic model to predict 5-year survival in SSc was developed in 1999 in 280 patients, but it has not been validated in other patients. The predictions of a prognostic model are usually less accurate in other patients, especially from other centres or countries. A study was undertaken to validate the prognostic model to predict 5-year survival in SSc in other centres throughout Europe.