Modelling the Number of Covid-19 PCR Tests Taken by University Students During Pandemic Using Count Data Regression


Yücel L.

ASEAD INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM SOCIAL SCIENCES, Antalya, Türkiye, 10 - 12 Nisan 2021, ss.125-126

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Özet Bildiri
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Antalya
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.125-126
  • İstanbul Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

In this study, factors affecting the number of Covid-19 PCR (polymerase chain reaction) tests that university students have had since March 11, 2020, when the pandemic was declared by World Health Organization (WHO) were investigated by the method of count data regression analysis. Since having a PCR test in a fixed time period is a rare event, the number of tests do not normally distributed. Unlike OLS regression, count data regression does not assume normally distributed residuals with constant variance. In such cases if the dependent variable is a count variable, count data regression should be used instead OLS regression. In this study negative binomial regression was used because of the overdispersion problem. The data were collected via google survey between 9-16 March 2021. All of the respondents are studying at İstanbul University. The predictors of the count data model are; gender, school grade, age and the family income. The number of Covid-19 PCR tests taken by the students is the count data variable (dependent variable). In order to exclude the number of tests that are routinely required by the workplaces, only the students who do not have a job participated in the survey. As the result of the study, only school grade and age were statistically significant, family income and gender were not significant. In other words, succesfull and relatively older students (within the scope of data) have had fewer Covid-19 PCR tests than low success and relatively younger students. Keywords: Count Data Regression, Poisson Regression, Overdispersion, Underdispersion, Negative Binomial Regression.